How the Sports Betting Line is Made by RJ Bell

Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said. Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a “preliminary” pointspread on an upcoming game. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ┬Ż to try and attract money on the favorite. If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team’s most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent.

RJ Bell

┬ęPregame.com 2006

Website: http://www.Pregame.com

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action. . People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not.”

Moving the line is the oddsmaker’s effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision.

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines.

Why the Line Changes

How the Opening Line Is Made

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the betting action, public perception and betting patterns must be taken into account. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an “adjusted line.”

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

What Is the Line Trying to Accomplish?

Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line “feels right.” This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf).

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by.

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team’s power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Contributed by:

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action.

Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’). For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football team such as USC

Traveling Around – Michigan – Casino Trip To The Upper Peninsula

My best (and most fun) hand came when it dealt me three 6’s, a five, and an ace for a dealt Quick Quads. Most of the attractions that I wanted to see were closed for the winter months (they open up later this month). Perhaps next time. I think that a “team of two” was playing because either that initial person or another fellow that I recognized was playing every time I went by. (I got the picture from a video I took and the video play controls are at the bottom of the picture – sorry.)

Additionally, there was a once a month activity in the Conference Center that I like to at least stick my head into. There is a bank of 7 nickel video poker machines with lower payoffs that hover around 97 or 98 percent and we both spent some time there. Hm-m-m, maybe I’ll get back again this summer.

The Casino

Although it wasn’t quite this crowded when we were there, lots of people were around. I’d image that by 5 PM, there were some very happy people because beer was flowing at $5 a pitcher. They have a bar that has 25 cent full pay jacks or better and the wife spent most of her gambling time there.

I had intended to go to some museums in Sault Ste Marie but video poker kept calling me at the times I wanted to go so didn’t make them. We listened for a bit but were too timid to get on the dance floor.

I headed for that machine Wednesday morning but got there too late. I played for several hours on Tuesday. The wife, as usual, did better than I and was at or near even. We probably won’t get back up there this year and hope they don’t change Sacys menu too much before we do.

They had a Player’s Club sponsored slot tournament on Wednesday that we played in. It was a polka band – Richie Yurkovich and Polkarioty – that attracts an enthusiastic older crowd. I had more points accumulated than the wife so I got more entries. I checked it over a period of about 12 hours and one or the other of them was there all the time.

Coming Home and some comments

After a leisurely breakfast we packed up our stuff and got on the road about 10. The machine that caught my eye, however, and I sat there immediately was a Quick Quad machine. Pleasant and were home by 3.

Video poker was about what should be expected since I didn’t get a royal and I wound up putting about $4,000 through the machines and lost $45. As normal we didn’t do very well, but I was lucky at one session and wound up in 7th place which was good for $25 free play which I put to good use at video poker.. Ran into some rain after crossing the bridge but it quit pretty quickly. They appeared from 1 to 5. Someone had begun playing. Had lunch at Soaring Eagle while going through Mt. I usually mix my play between video poker and some blackjack, but this time I was content with the video poker

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Calculatem pro is a software which can help you in on line and off-line poker in an intrusive and easily understandable way. Their ‘Mega-Fortune’ slots game has already accrued more than EUR8.5 million. A few of the other slots at Unibet Casino are Boom Brothers, Devil’s Delight, Gonzo’s Quest, Hot City, and Dallas, which is based on the popular TV show from the 80s. So, it is set to beat the preceding online casino progressive jackpot record amounting to EUR6.3 million and set a fresh world record! Unibet casino employs Net Entertainment, an award-winning software provider, that was of late declared as the winner of the ‘Innovation in Casino Software’ at the annual gaming awards in London.

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How To Get Rich on Habbo Hotel

This will give you a positive reputation, and they’ll likely bet it again and lose it anyway.

Step 5

These coins will be traded among

various Habbos until one of them ultimately decides to

gamble

them. For

instance, in a game with 10% dealer

advantage, for every 10 coins bet, the dealer

can expect to profit

1 coin. There’s bound to be something.

Step 9

Good places to find

friends are in various games and reality shows.

As a dealer, it’s important not to offer deals that are so large they take away your dealers’ advantage. Getting to

know them can lead to them betting you, or at

least filling a casino you deal in

and making you appear friendly

and approachable.

Conclusion

Tips & Warnings

Check bobbavalues.com if you need a

price check on a rare you come across.

Realize that the Habbo

economy is dominated by gambling.

Wealth is localized in

Habbo in quite a regular fashion. In most cases, the casino wins when gambling. In addition

to most games and their

conditions leading the dealer to an

advantage, you will likely get scammed,

reducing your total

payback even more.

Grow your friend network

It

is important not to coop yourself up in the casino the whole time as

you are

trying to gain profit. This path is by no

means quick and easy, so do not expect instant results.. Save up your coins

until you have enough to buy rights PLUS about 50 coins to start

dealing.

Step 6

Buy rights from a popular

casino

Your money will simply not be well spent unless

you buy rights from a popular

casino.

Bear

in mind that the dealer advantage is over the long run. Sometimes these gifts would be rares (right on!),

but

typically I got various norms. I’m guessing you have one of those.Step 1

I also recommend playing the many games

that are hosted, but never pay the owner furni. There

will be plenty

of winning/losing streaks along the way, and your

total bankroll over time will be

a rollercoaster. (The Habbo Club sofa used to be the common

unit of exchange in the market. This formula was made to show

gamblers (if the odds are in their favor) how much they should bet

for maximum growth with minimum risk. If a player claims to lose all their furni, I recommend giving them one of their bets back. For example, I

would be more apt to bet someone named

Blue than XxSweetie_012xX.

Whip out a dictionary and look up some words that have

not been

taken yet. However, with the birth of the

marketplace, coins are now typically used.)

This how-to guide will give you the

tools needed to become rich on Habbo Hotel. It’s best to expect

that the owner is a scammer, and you can’t get scammed if you don’t

give him or her anything.

Step 3

Get your first month of

Habbo Club.

Habbo Hotel is dominated by teenagers, and

teenagers are superficial. (See

my page for details on dealer advantage.) But, in order to get a

good start on your dealing (as we will discuss later), you will

probably want to start with 50 coins (known as a “gb” for

gold bar).

DO mooch more furni and

coins and trade up

How I got my starting capital (several

times, mind you) was by making rich friends

and getting gifts from

them. It is clear that the richest of the rich on Habbo

did

not attain their wealth from buying coins, considering that spending

$100 on

coins will get you only 10

gold bars. You need rights in a casino that is regularly on the top

of

the list.

Step 2

Select a good username.

Many

Habbos try to get bets in casinos, but fail to do so and wonder why.

Gamblers

with experience inherently trust more aged users, and an

indicator of age is the

uniqueness of a username. The trick is to open a coin shop and

sell LOW.

You’re not looking to make big money here; just enough

to get started with your

gambling enterprise.

Step 8

Bet big = FAIL

According

to The Wizard

of Odds, the amount you should optimally be dealing for each hand

is determined by the Kelly criterion. Never bet higher than the Kelly criterion

would have you,

and remember to put all that furni you earn to good use!

Habbo

Hotel is a massively multiplayer online game where players create

virtual

avatars to visit various hotel rooms, participate in

activities, and personalize

their own page. Many people

who

attend these have a decent reputation on the hotel and many

friends. You may get discounts

(or

even free) rights other casinos. If you can’t, let the Kelly

amount be

your booth’s maximum bet.

Things You Will NeedAll you’ll need is a computer with a working Internet connection. To the typical Habbo

player, it can be daunting to see how wealthy

some of the elite

players are. This translates into the pixel world.

You’re going to need Habbo Club to appear presentable and to be taken

seriously by the community (no one likes being called a bacon). Doing so

will grow your

reputation and give you more people to bet. Although dealing under the Kelly bet will

slow your

growth, it is certainly better to deal under than

over.

Thus, you should regularly check

your bankroll and see what the optimal Kelly bet

is,

and try to get bets that are that big. As your reputation

grows, it may be tempting to do

super rare bets that you cannot

afford. As you get

rich enough,

consider the prospect of opening your own casino! You can sell

rights

and establish yourself more formally as a well-known dealer

on Habbo Hotel.

Remember to deal responsibly. In

order to

grow your wealth, you need to play games with a dealer advantage, such as 6, 13, 21, and pick-a-number.

The

dealer advantage is defined as the percent profit the dealer

makes on each bet. If

you’d like to get this right away, simply buy a few coins (you could

get 20 via text message for $4), or, if you’re a die-hard for not

spending any money, play games and make friends, get some normal

furni, and sell them for coins (described in-depth in step 5). Using Habbo Hotel as a

friend-making service (as it was

intended) is one of the most

profitable moves you can make as a dealer. It begins with a new

player

deciding to buy coins. Here

are some tips for Habbo Club members:

Do not overdress. Thus, it is

important to apportion bets appropriately to allow for

this

long-term growth, as discussed in the next step.

With all these techniques, you should

see a steady growth of your purse. If these coins

are wagered enough times, the casino will eventually own all of them.

Thus, the split between rich and poor grows.

Step 4

DO NOT BET YOUR FREE HC

GIFT

Betting in Habbo is typically a no-no. I have posted

a Kelly

calculator for Habbo games here.

Dealing over the Kelly bet will make you more likely to lose it all

without any added benefit. The

approximate dealer advantage of each game,

determined

by simulation, is found here, the higher the better. It’s ok to shop around for a

good deal on rights, but don’t suffice for a

middle-of-the-list

casino. A

myriad of bling and headdresses is bound to scare

patrons away

from your booth.

Do not wear badges except the one for the

casino’s dealer group.

Doing this will also get you your first

HC gift.

Step 7

Deal ONLY games that are, eventually,

guaranteed to make you rich.

Poker and multi have a 0%

dealer advantage, and are thus horrible games to deal. Getting to know others on Habbo is

essential

to making coins

Las Vegas Casinos – InfoBarrel

I assume the

inside of the Palms Casino and Resort is just as beautiful. If the Aliens

ever come to play poker they will probably come to the Luxor Hotel

and Casino.

The Palms Casino and Resort is where

the middle class come to see the rich and famous. I disagree.

The New York New York Hotel and Casino is all of the fun of the real

New York but a lot cheaper. Regardless of your budget you can find

somewhere fun and unique to gamble while visiting Las Vegas.

In 2007 they replace most of the

Egyptian themed items and decorations. The Palms Casino and Resort has been the site of many TV

shows. It is by the Circus Circus Hotel and Casino.

Slots-A-Fun Casino has many low limit table games including $1.00

blackjack. I wish they would have kept

the Egyptian theme at the Luxor Hotel and Casino. They usually have some video gaming machines. Downtown Las Vegas is much funner and generally cheaper then staying on the

Vegas Strip. If you do want to see the Strip

you are a very short bus ride away. You can find $1.00 black jack or $1,000 black jack tables.

From the high rollers VIP areas in fancy Vegas Casinos to the smoky

keno rooms with ragged carpet. (readers or lookers?) The show is adult oriented

so don’t take Paul “Pee Wee” Reubens with you.

I am a huge fan of the downtown Vegas

properties but this strip property make my list. During peak nights the Slots-A-Fun

Casino is packed with people wanting to play low limit games. If you want a tattoo they have a shop inside.

The New York New York Hotel and Casino

was considered a truly amazing architecture and styling casino when

it was first opened. I have

never been inside the Palms Casino and Resort except for when I see

this Vegas Hotel on television.

The Slots-A-Fun Casino is located on

The Las Vegas Strip. The Luxor Hotel and

Casino of today appears much different then the magnificent building

that was originally there. I love the

7-11 stores for gambling. What other gaming property in Las Vegas can

offer you a Slurpee? The fact that I can play video poker with bad

odds and drink blue colored Slurpee’s all day makes the 7-11

convenience stores an awesome Las Vegas gaming property.

times.

The Gold Spike Hotel and Casino has

some lower limit tables such as $2.00 Blackjack. You can also walk if you are not lazy. The rich and famous

come to the Palms Casino and Resort to be seen by the middle class

tourists. The

parking garage at the New York New York Hotel and Casino is my

favorite ride. I wonder when

Britney plays blackjack and wants another card if she tells the

Blackjack dealer “Hit Me Baby One More Time.” After all of

Britney’s kids I think she was hit again.

At night time the Palms Casino and

Resort is an absolutely gorgeous building. The other

reason the Luxor Hotel and Casino is so cool is because of the huge

light beaming out from the top of the Luxor into space.

The Gold Spike Hotel and Casino is

located in my favorite part of Las Vegas. You are right down by the

Fremont Light Show and all of the casinos and sites located in the

downtown area of historic Las Vegas. It is modeled after the gr

eat pyramids of Egypt. The 7-11 stores are not considered a casino to

most people. The Gold Spike Hotel and Casino also has a

sports book inside called “Leroy’s Sports book”.

The Palms Casino and Resort is a

favorite of Britney Spears when she visits Las Vegas. The roller coaster is fun…to watch. Do not

attend the Slots-A-Fun Casino on a weekend or any other time the

place is busy. When the Slots-A-Fun Casino is empty of locals and

tourists then it is a very fun place to gamble in Las Vegas. Just because you may want to

visit an expensive Las Vegas Casino that does not mean you have to

play there.

Gold Spike Hotel and Casino

Luxor Hotel and Casino

There are many casinos in Las Vegas

Nevada. When you are speeding up to the

top layer it looks and feels like you are flying of the edge of the

building onto the roller coaster. There are always exceptions and some great deals can be

found for the Las Vegas Strip hotels and casinos during non peak

7-11

Palms Casino and Resort

Regardless of where you want to gamble

in Las Vegas you can always find something cool, tacky, common, rare,

expensive, cheap, or even dirt cheap. You may have seen the Palms Casino and Resort on

television. $3.00 Black Jack is the favorite game of

many people in Las Vegas. If it is

not a slow night then do not even bother to show up to the

Slots-A-Fun Casino.

New York New York Hotel and Casino

If you visit the Palms Casino and

Resort make sure your bring your camera so you can take a picture of

the Paparazzi who may be there outside snapping pictures of the rich

and famous when they arrive at the Palms Casino and Resort..

If you choose to stay at the Gold Spike

Hotel and Casino during you vacation to Las Vegas you will be well

rewarded with your choice of location. On a Sunday when there are only a few cars in there

you can drive your car to the top. It is a popular spot for

amateur photographers to snap a world class picture. The appearance is drastically different,.

The Luxor Hotel and Casino has changed from an Egyptian theme to a

corporate owned casino filled with gimmicky adverting. I did once when it was 108 degrees and the

soles on my shoes were soft from the hot asphalt and concrete

literally melting my shoe soles away.

Slots-A-Fun Casino

Image Credit: (Flickr/davideferro.net) (Flickr/Chad Davis)

While visiting the Luxor Hotel and

Casino make sure you get tickets to the show starring Angelica

Bridges. The first is the shape of the

building. At least they

have not changed the sweet shape f the pyramid.

The 7-11 convenience stores in Las

Vegas are everywhere. Angelica Bridges starred on Baywatch and is also a favorite

of Playboy readers. Many people now days consider the New York New

York Hotel and Casino to be slightly on the tacky side. Fremont Street. $2.00 Blackjack is

only available occasionally. If it is summertime and over 100 degrees I highly suggest you

do not walk the strip. Slots-A-Fun Casino is a fun place to gamble cheaply if you

go there during a slow time. The Luxor Hotel and

Casino is really cool for two reasons

Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

prosportsonline.net

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares).

By: Manny G

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. . Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

Article Directory: http://www.articledashboard.com

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years

Casino-Gaming :: What Percentage Of Races Does The Favorite Horse Win?

Of course, if you placed a win bet and the horse does win, then you will come away with lots of money. However, bookmakers/tracks usually only offer poor odds if you bet place or show on such a horse. Often the odds on the horse most likely to win is poor. Of course, this is providing that you placed a place or show bet.

In order to win a horse race, you might want to predict the winner by using statistical calculations instead. Therefore, it is statistically speaking, a bad race to bet on. I suggest that you choose horse races with nine runners and 1/4 odds on the first three, or six runners with 1/4 odds on the first two. However, let us say that the race has just six runners, then you have a 1 in 6 chance of winning. In this case a favorite will place almost 100% of the time.

In a race with only six horses running, you have a 1 in 6 chance of picking a winner. Thus, place your bet around 20 minutes to race time.

In my opinion, the secret of winning on the horses is to look at the statistics. In 2 out of 3 races some other horse wins.

As a general rule, the favorite will win about 1/3 of the time, but what is amazing is how often the favorite will place, especially when less than half of the field is 5-1 or lower. The reason being that the odds are often better than the favorite winning the race. If the odds are less than 4/1, then I suggest passing such a horse race. Thus, I suggest that you limit yourself to horse races with either 6 or 9 horses running to have the best chance of winning.

As one can see, it often is better to bet on a horse you think is going to place. Remember, that your horse only has to come in the first three in a six or nine horse race for you to come away with a profit. The key point: is stay away from horse races where there are lots of runners!

Thus, the question asked is if you should bet on the horse most likely to win? Sometimes the answer to this is “no”. You really need odds of at least 4/1 to win anything if the horse that you bet on places second or third. Look at the odds being offered and if they are better on the second or third horse, then go for it.

Why does the horse predicted to place actually wins so many races? Maybe because the favorite usually only wins 1 in 3 races. If the horses just below the favorite have better odds, such as 4/1, 5/1 or better; then place your bet on those horses. Thus, you can see that the fewer the runners there are, the better your chances of winning. In a race with 20 runners you have a 1 in 20 chance of picking the winner. And do not forget, the horse still has a chance of winning too. For this reason, I do not always place my money on the horse that is predicted to win. . Remember, when you use this system, you are making your predictions on the odds

Eve Races – Which Eve Race Is Best Overall?

So if statistics are no longer a reason to pick one race over the other, what is? Well.. And that is actually the coolest part of Eve Online to me: no fixed skill trees depending on race and profession. It is all a matter of preference and playing style. There is a difference in the types of ships belonging to a certain race, but each race has its pros and cons. Very useful if you fancy doing missions more or less afk, since those drones will take care of the killing for you. And even when you use both remaps, another one will become available after one year.

Best Eve Race Overall – Conclusion

There is no best Eve race, as you can always cross train when you see a ship you like. But those considerations will be more important to a roleplaying character, than to someone who is looking for the best. You have the general history and looks of a certain race that might or might not appeal to you. It just gives you a small headstart. Your starting skills and statistics were largely dependent on your choice of Eve race, bloodline and ancestry. And back then, you could not change your statistics after character creation.

A lot of people consider Caldari missile boats the best for running missions (pve). So you can train and fly whatever ship you like, just keep in mind that while cross training ads a lot of flexibility, it also takes time. As you will be training less skills that depend on charisma than on other stats for a general purpose character, this can be quite useful.

All characters start out with the same statistics. I was one of them.

But those were the old days. Players who browsed the internet for information, or had friends already playing, often opted for the Caldari Achura Stargazers. You can just fly over to some other place and start running missions there. They do require quite a bit of cap however.

Very strong armor tankAmarr ships have a nicely sized capacitator to support both lasers and armor repairs. My main character for example (the caldari achura I talked about earlier) can fly both caldari ships and (shield tanked) gallente ships very well. This is called a neural remap. Just like point 1, this does not mean you are stuck there. When you do the tutorial, you will get some initial standing for the faction and corporation in your area. And when you start out you have the

option to change those statistics twice. This is time not spent specializing in one particular skill tree, and therefore only recommended when you consider your character “good enough” at the important skill trees already. This by no means limits you, since you can cross train in Eve Online. Drones are very versatile, since they can jam, repair shields or armor, target paint and of course just kill stuff.Good gun skills

Good armor tanks, though some ships (exceptions) can be shield tanked nicely as well.Generally considered good and versatile in pvp.Largest cargohold tier one hauling ship (Iteron V) for your mining needs.

AmarrSpecialized in lasers, which take no ammo. You make your own destiny!

Eve Online Race Selection in the Old Days

In the old days, Eve races varied quite a lot at creation. You no longer need

to worry as much about the consequences of Eve Online race selection. Just looking at gameplay, there are two differences:

You will start out with a race specific frigate and some very basic skills to match. The skills you start out with only add up to a couple of hours of training time, so there is not much lost if you do so.

Each race will start out in a different area of space. But when they get drained of cap, that can be a weakness too since both their offense and defense depend on it.MinmatarUse guns that don’t use capCan shield tank or armor tankGood at electronic warfareGenerally the fastest shipsQuick to train ore hauler with a good sized cargohold (Mammoth)

Gets better when your character gets more experienced and has more skillpoints. I will be adding more detailed information about Eve race specific ships to my website, so feel free to check that out regularly.

CaldariMissile boats: use no capacitor to fire and can hit from a long distance.

Strong shields: allowing you to build a very strong passive shield tank with the right training.

Eve Race Ships – What are the Best Ones?

Since ships are the most important difference between races in Eve Online, I will give a

quick overview of some general characteristics. Character creation has changed.

There were two reasons for this choice:

You could make a character with low charisma, which meant more points were left for the other statistics. Or alternatively, you could switch the race specific training immediately. This was a big hurdle for new players, as they could not really know yet what options would suit them best at creation.

So What is the Best Race in Eve Online Now?

Nowadays character creation is much easier. Passive shield tanks are the only vessels capable of tanking the harsh level 5 missions that drain your capacitor quickly.Generally considered good for pve (missions), but less powerful in pve (player versus player).Biggest cargohold freighter for us real carebear industrialists and traders.GallenteBest drone boats in the game

Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

By: Manny G

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

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The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

prosportsonline.net. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it.

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units